The exit dam is breaking. After three years of elevated rates, compressed multiples. Gridlocked deal markets, the structural conditions for exits are improving. The firms that prepared are the ones that will capture the value.
The main themes
The Chime IPO signals public market return; but standards are higher, governance maturity, reporting quality, and CFO readiness are now table stakes, not advantages.
Structural shift underway; GPs can no longer rely on multiple expansion as a primary return driver. AI gaining traction in deal sourcing and value creation; European markets recapturing interest.
Megadeals returning; regulatory headwinds softening; dual-track processes (IPO + M&A) are back on the table. The deal market is reopening, but only for prepared assets.
Velocity equals clarity plus alignment plus pace. High-performing teams design their decision cadence deliberately. Weekly operating rhythms consistently outperform annual planning cycles.
AI now foundational, not experimental; in-house tools deliver faster ROI than vendor solutions; sponsor-led AI fluency boosts portfolio performance measurably.